Trading Strategies

Veteran trader Bob Iaccino shares his perspective on key market setups like death crosses, trendlines, and inverse head and shoulders patterns — and why probability matters more than confirmation.

Let’s start with the big picture. I believe 2025 will be a positive year for the markets, potentially ending with high single-digit gains. However, I also expect a 15-30% drop at some point during the year. This prediction is tied to the potential success of the current administration’s policies, which could create what’s known as a fiscal drag.

As we close out the first month of the year, it’s worth reflecting on the January Effect and its potential implications for the markets in 2025. While the January Effect has evolved over the years, it remains a topic of interest for traders and investors who want to better understand seasonal market trends and their possible predictive value.

Every morning, my routine begins with analyzing U.S. Treasury yields. Interest rates play a crucial role in shaping stock market movements, and I track daily, weekly, and monthly changes using my custom spreadsheet.

Today, we’re diving into an essential topic for those interested in short selling: scanning and charting. In this blog, I’m sharing my go-to techniques to help identify high-probability short trade setups.

Technical analysis is one of the two primary methods to understand stock market movements. While fundamental analysis focuses on a company’s financial health for long-term growth, technical analysis zeroes in on price action.

Unlike traditional investing, which, while still risky, allows you to sit and observe whether your thesis is correct, trading requires rapid responses, and opportunities arise quickly — but also fade quickly.

The Fibonacci sequence might seem like just a set of numbers at first, but its importance in trading lies in its ability to help identify potential levels of support and resistance. These are key levels where a stock or asset might pause or reverse during its price movement. Traders use Fibonacci retracement levels to gauge how much a price has pulled back from a previous trend, and they look for price action to either bounce or continue at these levels.

Simply put, a measured move is a method where you measure areas of price action to predict the next move. They're very reliable because what you see on your chart represents two things: mob mentality and math. That's all it is.